🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡- "Iran's nuclear program degraded by one to two years," - The Pentagon.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "Israel is preparing to formulate air and military enforcement against Iranian attempts to restore its nuclear and missile programs," - Israel Katz, Defense Minister of Israel.

Happy Independence Day 🦅🇺🇸

One thing I have noticed after the "12-Day War" between Iran and Israel is that most of the more mainstream Israel-critical pundits don't seem to know precisely why we oppose a war with Iran and this has left them fumbling after the ceasefire.

Many of them predicted that the initiation of hostilities with Iran in any form would necessarily draw in Russia and China and lead to a major global conflict that directly involves the United States.

When that didn't happen, many of them were left looking for other things to be outraged about like whether or not Trump had constitutional authority to attack Iran without Congress or whether it constituted a war crime.

The truth is that this has been a pattern, where these types of pundits have consistently over-estimated the solidarity and strength of the China-Russia-Iran bloc and underestimated the strength and solidarity of the US-led bloc.

For years, these analysts have been predicting the imminent collapse of Ukraine, and then predicted that Israel was on the verge of collapse fighting Hamas and Hezbollah, and then that Israel would never stand a chance against Iran.

Well, 3.5 years later and Russia has barely advanced in Ukraine, Gaza is decimated, Hezbollah is functionally neutralized, and Israel was able to have its way with Iran for two weeks.

In that period of time, the US took Argentina away from BRICS, brought Saudi Arabia back into the fold, pried Armenia and Syria back from Russia, and utterly degraded Iran while Russia and China watched.

The real problem, however, with an Iran War is not that it risks a war with China necessarily, or even boots on the ground from the United States. I'm less worried what will happen if the US suffers a tactical defeat than if it wins a tactical victory.

If the government in Iran is toppled, and diplomacy prevails between Israel and all of its neighbors, then it creates a strategic landscape in which Israel is unchallenged and unchecked in the region.

After the US fought to make the Middle East safe for Israel over the last 32 years, we will leave all of the spoils in their hands as we move on to build up our presence in the Pacific. We would effectively hand over a Middle East empire to the Israelis.

A hegemonic, unchecked Israel, with its vast influence in the United States and Russia would effectively dominate the planet. Hedging between the US and China, controlling land, sea, and energy routes that run through the Middle East, the US would no longer even have the pretense of being able to influence Israel.

This is and always was the real problem. I'm not worried about America losing, I'm terrified of "America" winning.

a Trump “tweet” in 2025

vs 2016:

Regarding Tucker’s interview with the Iranian president— it’s funny how normies are defending this under the pretense that Tucker is simply a “real journalist” doing “real journalism” by “interviewing a world leader.”

Is that what they call it? Was his father one of those “real journalists” when he was appointed by Reagan to create Cold War propaganda for the Communist Bloc?

Tucker has been on a perpetual world tour meeting publicly and privately with American allies and adversaries. That isn’t journalism, that is diplomacy.

Granted, this is probably a positive development that somebody at a high level in the US is ostensibly trying make peace but let’s just call it what it is.

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“Give me the Madison Grant”

“…”

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman, Ismael Baqaei, denies that any meeting is scheduled between U.S. and Iran, and says Iran has not requested any meeting

@Middle_East_Spectator

— ❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: 'We have received messages from the U.S. expressing interest in new negotiations. Well, we were engaged in negotiations and you saw how that ended. Negotiations need trust, and there is none.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

Shocker

Live with Alex Jones right now debating immigration

https://x.com/realalexjones/status/1942637701968322876?s=46

We are reaching levels of fell for it again that shouldn’t even be possible

We live in hell

Average 2025 Trump "tweet"

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